Tennis · WTA Lisbon · 13/10, 13:30
Prediction: Analu Freitas vs Raluca Georgiana Serban
Team pages: Analu Freitas · Raluca Georgiana Serban
Prediction summary
Winner
Analu Freitas
Raluca Georgiana Serban
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Analu Freitas
0-10 (W-L)
Raluca Georgiana Serban
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Analu Freitas 1385 · Raluca Georgiana Serban 1494
| Analu Freitas | Raluca Georgiana Serban | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Raluca Georgiana Serban (rating 1385 vs 1494).
- Raluca Georgiana Serban is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Raluca Georgiana Serban makes many double faults (8.6/match).
Statistics
| Analu Freitas | Raluca Georgiana Serban | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (5) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.1-2 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 4.9-12.8 | 11.5-12.5 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 8.6 |
| 1st serve % | 44.6% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 31.6% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Analu Freitas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Kennedy Gibbs W35 Lagos |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Valentina Losciale W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Sabine Rutlauka W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 27/05 | Elyse Tse W15 Oliva · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Helene Pellicano W15 Oliva · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Elizabeth Jurna W15 Madrid |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/04 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann WTA Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 22/02 | Alba Rey Garcia W75 Porto |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/02 | Yasmine Mansouri WTA Oeiras Qual · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/02 | Dalila Jakupovic WTA Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Raluca Georgiana Serban
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Sara Cakarevic WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/10 | Sarah Van Emst WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/10 | Jennifer Ruggeri W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-19 | L |
| 07/10 | Lara Schmidt W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Gaia Maduzzi W50 Plovdiv |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/09 | Lea Boskovic WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 08/09 | Francesca Jones WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Anastasia Zolotareva W50 Prague |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Anastasia Bertacchi WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Analu Freitas vs Raluca Georgiana Serban?
Our model gives 81% to Raluca Georgiana Serban, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.