Tennis · W35 Monastir · 14/10, 10:30
Prediction: Mariia Tkacheva vs Jenny Lim
Team pages: Mariia Tkacheva · Jenny Lim
Prediction summary
Winner
Mariia Tkacheva
Jenny Lim
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mariia Tkacheva
4-6 (W-L)
Jenny Lim
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mariia Tkacheva 1434 · Jenny Lim 1524
| Mariia Tkacheva | Jenny Lim | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jenny Lim (rating 1434 vs 1524).
- Jenny Lim is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Jenny Lim makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Mariia Tkacheva | Jenny Lim | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-12.6 | 10-6.7 |
| Aces | 3 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 34.1% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mariia Tkacheva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Mariam Bolkvadze WTA Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 04/10 | Anastasia Tikhonova WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/08 | Dune Vaissaud W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 21/02 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/02 | Shilin Xu WTA Midland · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/01 | Donna Vekic WTA Manila · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/01 | Sara Saito WTA Manila · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/12 | Sohyun Park ITF W35 New Delhi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 06/12 | Katherine Sebov W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Jenny Lim
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Viola Turini W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/08 | Valentini Grammatikopoulou W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Anna-Lena Ebster W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/08 | Valentini Grammatikopoulou W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Ana Grubor W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/08 | Franziska Sziedat W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Emma Kamper W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Ines Delaloye W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/08 | Noemi Basiletti W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mariia Tkacheva vs Jenny Lim?
Our model gives 53% to Jenny Lim, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.