Tennis · W15 Bol · 14/10, 09:00

Prediction: Andrea Obradovic vs Daria Gorska

Team pages: Andrea Obradovic · Daria Gorska

Prediction summary
Winner
73% 27%
Andrea Obradovic Daria Gorska
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Obradovic 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLWWWLWL
Daria Gorska 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWLWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Andrea Obradovic 1581 · Daria Gorska 1445
Andrea ObradovicDaria Gorska
Our model69%31%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea Obradovic (rating 1581 vs 1445).
  • Andrea Obradovic is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Andrea ObradovicDaria Gorska
Win %70%30%
Win % · Clay 70% (10) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.80.7-1.4
Games (G-P)11.6-89.4-11.6
Aces1.81.4
Double faults3.83.7
1st serve %62.8%61.6%
Break %46.5%39.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Andrea Obradovic

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/10 Mia Horvit
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
2-1 14-7 W
10/10 Jana Bojovic
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
09/10 Masa Jankovic
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
2-1 15-11 W
08/10 Sonja Wedenski
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
07/10 Klara Vaja
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
06/10 Sachi Aoki
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
02/09 Ksenia Zaytseva
W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
31/08 Andzhelina Kostova
W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
23/08 Sara Mikaca
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 11-14 L
30/07 Marianne Argyrokastriti
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L

Daria Gorska

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/09 Amy Sucha
W15 Radom
0-2 0-8 L
09/09 Izabela Heinzova
W15 Radom
2-0 13-5 W
01/09 Megan Heuser
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0-2 6-12 L
26/08 Sonja Zhenikhova
W75 Bytom
0-2 10-13 L
24/08 Julia Adams
W75 Bytom
2-0 14-11 W
02/08 Alana Smith
WTA Warsaw · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
30/07 Sophia Ksandinov
W15 Bielsko Biala
1-2 16-18 L
29/07 Amelia Paszun
W15 Bielsko Biala
2-0 13-10 W
15/07 Weronika Ewald
Polish National Championships (W)
0-2 8-13 L
23/06 Weronika Falkowska
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Andrea Obradovic vs Daria Gorska?

Our model gives 73% to Andrea Obradovic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.