Tennis · Challenger Catania · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Daniel Siniakov
Team pages: Carlo Alberto Caniato · Daniel Siniakov
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Daniel Siniakov
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Carlo Alberto Caniato
9-1 (W-L)
Daniel Siniakov
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Carlo Alberto Caniato
1–0
Daniel Siniakov
(1 last)
- 31 May2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlo Alberto Caniato 1597 · Daniel Siniakov 1526
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Daniel Siniakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlo Alberto Caniato (rating 1597 vs 1526).
- Head-to-head: Carlo Alberto Caniato 1–0 Daniel Siniakov (1).
- Note: Daniel Siniakov makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Daniel Siniakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-9.3 | 12.8-11.9 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 40% | 59.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Carlo Alberto Caniato 1 – 0 Daniel Siniakov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Carlo Alberto Caniato 1–0 Daniel Siniakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Challenger Prostejov | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Max Wiskandt Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Lorenzo Berto Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 17/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Daniel Siniakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Jakub Vrba Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 11/10 | Paolo Gabriele Marino Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/10 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 16/09 | Vaclav Schneider UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/09 | Lukas Velik UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Thiago Pernas UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Niels Visker Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Daniel Siniakov?
Our model gives 67% to Carlo Alberto Caniato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.