Tennis · Challenger Catania · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Kai Wehnelt
Team pages: Gianluca Cadenasso · Kai Wehnelt
Prediction summary
Winner
Gianluca Cadenasso
Kai Wehnelt
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Gianluca Cadenasso
4-6 (W-L)
Kai Wehnelt
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gianluca Cadenasso 1490 · Kai Wehnelt 1529
| Gianluca Cadenasso | Kai Wehnelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Gianluca Cadenasso dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 40.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Gianluca Cadenasso | Kai Wehnelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-12.9 | 12.1-10.1 |
| Aces | 8.3 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 76.7% |
| Break % | 40.7% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gianluca Cadenasso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Filippo Moroni Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/09 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Federico Cina Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Leandro Riedi French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 19/05 | Liam Broady French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/05 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Kai Wehnelt
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 11/10 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/09 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Marcel Zielinski Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Facundo Mena Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Nick Hardt Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gianluca Cadenasso vs Kai Wehnelt?
Our model gives 60% to Gianluca Cadenasso, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.