Tennis · Challenger Catania · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Marco Cecchinato vs Pedro Vives Marcos
Team pages: Marco Cecchinato · Pedro Vives Marcos
Prediction summary
Winner
Marco Cecchinato
Pedro Vives Marcos
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Marco Cecchinato
4-6 (W-L)
Pedro Vives Marcos
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marco Cecchinato 1500 · Pedro Vives Marcos 1550
| Marco Cecchinato | Pedro Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Vives Marcos (rating 1500 vs 1550).
Statistics
| Marco Cecchinato | Pedro Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-12.7 | 11.7-8.6 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 40.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marco Cecchinato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Olle Wallin Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 17/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 15/09 | Henri Squire Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Laslo Djere Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 03/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Nick Hardt Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Vilius Gaubas US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Liam Broady US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Pedro Vives Marcos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/10 | Radu David Turcanu Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 04/10 | Sebastiano Cocola Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Tim Handel M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Luka Talan Lopatic M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/09 | Tim Handel M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marco Cecchinato vs Pedro Vives Marcos?
Our model gives 57% to Marco Cecchinato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.