Prediction: Nikita Mashtakov vs Aljaz Jeran
Team pages: Nikita Mashtakov · Aljaz Jeran
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikita Mashtakov
Aljaz Jeran
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Nikita Mashtakov
7-3 (W-L)
Aljaz Jeran
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikita Mashtakov 1595 · Aljaz Jeran 1461
| Nikita Mashtakov | Aljaz Jeran | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nikita Mashtakov (rating 1595 vs 1461).
- Nikita Mashtakov is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nikita Mashtakov | Aljaz Jeran | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-8.7 | 7.5-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 60.1% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 51.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikita Mashtakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Noah Lopez M15 Sibenik |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/10 | Charles Bertimon M15 Sibenik |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/10 | Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg M15 Sibenik |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 01/10 | Matthias Ujvary M15 Sibenik |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Jonas Gundacker M15 Sibenik |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Pavlos Tsitsipas Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Alexander Weis Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Aljaz Jeran
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Jan Kupcic M15 Sibenik |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Maj Premzl M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Valerio Aboian M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Cezar Gabriel Papoe M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Christopher Thies M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Dario Alexandru Ciobotaru M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Niccolo Baroni M15 Store |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Bor Artnak M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikita Mashtakov vs Aljaz Jeran?
Our model gives 77% to Nikita Mashtakov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.