Prediction: Andrea Paolini vs Matthias Ujvary
Team pages: Andrea Paolini · Matthias Ujvary
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Paolini
Matthias Ujvary
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Paolini
5-5 (W-L)
Matthias Ujvary
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Paolini 1491 · Matthias Ujvary 1449
| Andrea Paolini | Matthias Ujvary | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea Paolini (rating 1491 vs 1449).
- Note: Matthias Ujvary makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Andrea Paolini | Matthias Ujvary | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-9.2 | 10.1-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.1% | 55.3% |
| Break % | 50% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Paolini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Goncalo Da Rosa Castro M15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Matej Sabanov M15 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
| 05/10 | Mattia Nannelli M15 Burgas |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/08 | David Ioan Morega M15 Buzau |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Pecs |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Mate Valkusz M15 Pecs |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 26/08 | Radovan Michalik M15 Pecs |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Filip Martinovic M15 Pecs |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Anas Mazdrashki M15 Arad |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Pavel Skvortcov M15 Arad |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Matthias Ujvary
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Alan Wazny M15 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 13/10 | Richard Lacis M15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/10 | John Sperle M15 Burgas |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Nikita Mashtakov M15 Sibenik |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Mauro Mavracic M15 Sibenik |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/09 | Olle Wallin Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Lorenzo Rottoli M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Noel Larwig M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Facundo Yunis M15 Mistelbach |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 09/08 | Peter Makk M15 Poprad |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Paolini vs Matthias Ujvary?
Our model gives 53% to Andrea Paolini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.