Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 14/10, 08:00

Prediction: Giulio Perego vs Melios Efstathiou

Team pages: Giulio Perego · Melios Efstathiou

Prediction summary
Winner
42% 58%
Giulio Perego Melios Efstathiou
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Giulio Perego 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWWLWLWL
Melios Efstathiou 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Giulio Perego 1497 · Melios Efstathiou 1499
Giulio PeregoMelios Efstathiou
Our model50%50%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Giulio PeregoMelios Efstathiou
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 60% (5) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.2-1.1
Games (G-P)10.4-9.510.9-10
Aces1.90.9
Double faults1.62.5
1st serve %64.1%63.9%
Break %49.1%55.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Giulio Perego

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/10 Jordan Hasson
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
09/10 Peter Makk
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-1 17-13 W
08/10 Mathys Domenc
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W
07/10 Tyler Stice
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
24/09 Diogo Morais
M25 Setubal
0-2 8-13 L
22/09 Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
M25 Setubal
2-0 12-5 W
14/09 Vasco Leote Prata
M25 Sintra
1-2 6-11 L
03/09 Jake Fellows
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
02/09 Aradhya Kshitij
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
24/08 Fabrizio Andaloro
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 9-13 L

Melios Efstathiou

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/10 Finn Murgett
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
20/09 Georgii Kravchenko
Davis Cup
0-2 1-12 L
19/09 Oleksii Krutykh
Davis Cup
1-2 12-13 L
13/09 Leonardo Rossi
M25 Pozzuoli
2-0 13-8 W
12/09 Filippo Moroni
M25 Pozzuoli
2-0 12-6 W
11/09 Fabrizio Andaloro
M25 Pozzuoli
2-1 18-10 W
10/09 Mariano Tammaro
M25 Pozzuoli
2-0 12-4 W
12/08 Oskari Paldanius
M15 Turku
0-2 9-13 L
11/08 Kacper Szymkowiak
M15 Turku
2-0 12-5 W
17/07 Luca Castagnola
M15 Nova Gorica
1-2 14-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Giulio Perego vs Melios Efstathiou?

Our model gives 58% to Melios Efstathiou, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.