Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 14/10, 08:00
Prediction: Petros Tsitsipas vs Rodrigo Alujas
Team pages: Petros Tsitsipas · Rodrigo Alujas
Prediction summary
Winner
Petros Tsitsipas
Rodrigo Alujas
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Petros Tsitsipas
3-7 (W-L)
Rodrigo Alujas
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Petros Tsitsipas
1–0
Rodrigo Alujas
(1 last)
- 07 Jul2-0 14-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petros Tsitsipas 1428 · Rodrigo Alujas 1485
| Petros Tsitsipas | Rodrigo Alujas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rodrigo Alujas (rating 1428 vs 1485).
- Head-to-head: Petros Tsitsipas 1–0 Rodrigo Alujas (1).
- Note: Petros Tsitsipas makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Petros Tsitsipas | Rodrigo Alujas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-12.5 | 8.8-10.6 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 38.1% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Petros Tsitsipas 1 – 0 Rodrigo Alujas (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Petros Tsitsipas 1–0 Rodrigo Alujas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/25 Challenger Nottingham | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petros Tsitsipas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Mathys Domenc M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-7 | L |
| 01/10 | Sebastian Gima M25 Slobozia |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Louis Wessels M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Jiri Cizek M25 Pardubice |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/09 | Oleksii Krutykh M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Maxence Rivet M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 02/09 | Arthur Nagel M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Tommaso Compagnucci M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Theo Papamalamis M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Rodrigo Alujas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Max Houkes M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Calvin Hemery M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Mehluli Don Ayanda Sibanda M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Martin Antonio Vergara del Puerto M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Nicolas Garcia Longo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 30/07 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Preston Brown M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Daniel Jade M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petros Tsitsipas vs Rodrigo Alujas?
Our model gives 51% to Petros Tsitsipas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.