Tennis · Challenger Catania · 12/10, 11:30
Prediction: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Kai Wehnelt
Team pages: Alex Marti Pujolras · Kai Wehnelt
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Marti Pujolras
Kai Wehnelt
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Marti Pujolras
5-5 (W-L)
Kai Wehnelt
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Marti Pujolras 1505 · Kai Wehnelt 1516
| Alex Marti Pujolras | Kai Wehnelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Kai Wehnelt dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 44.6% break avg.
- Note: Alex Marti Pujolras makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Alex Marti Pujolras | Kai Wehnelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.2 | 12.4-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 76.6% |
| Break % | 55.8% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Marti Pujolras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | John Sperle Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Filippo Moroni Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-15 | L |
| 22/09 | Nico Hipfl M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/09 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/09 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Oleg Covian Roca de Togores Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/08 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
Kai Wehnelt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/09 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Marcel Zielinski Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Facundo Mena Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Nick Hardt Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Marti Pujolras vs Kai Wehnelt?
Our model gives 52% to Alex Marti Pujolras, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.