Tennis · Challenger Catania · 12/10, 11:30
Prediction: Yanaki Milev vs Federico Iannaccone
Team pages: Yanaki Milev · Federico Iannaccone
Prediction summary
Winner
Yanaki Milev
Federico Iannaccone
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Yanaki Milev
7-3 (W-L)
Federico Iannaccone
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yanaki Milev 1576 · Federico Iannaccone 1518
| Yanaki Milev | Federico Iannaccone | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanaki Milev (rating 1576 vs 1518).
- Yanaki Milev is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Yanaki Milev | Federico Iannaccone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-9.2 | 10.2-9.2 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 35.9% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yanaki Milev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/10 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/10 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Luca Wiedenmann Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/09 | Kirill Kivattsev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Federico Iannaccone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Tomaso Calla Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/09 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Luca Wiedenmann Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Alexander Weis Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yanaki Milev vs Federico Iannaccone?
Our model gives 55% to Yanaki Milev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.