Tennis · WTA Lisbon · 12/10, 13:30
Prediction: Raluca Georgiana Serban vs Sara Cakarevic
Team pages: Raluca Georgiana Serban · Sara Cakarevic
Prediction summary
Winner
Raluca Georgiana Serban
Sara Cakarevic
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Raluca Georgiana Serban
3-7 (W-L)
Sara Cakarevic
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Raluca Georgiana Serban
1–0
Sara Cakarevic
(1 last)
- 13 Jul2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Raluca Georgiana Serban 1469 · Sara Cakarevic 1530
| Raluca Georgiana Serban | Sara Cakarevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sara Cakarevic (rating 1469 vs 1530).
- Sara Cakarevic is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Raluca Georgiana Serban 1–0 Sara Cakarevic (1).
- Note: Raluca Georgiana Serban makes many double faults (8.4/match).
Statistics
| Raluca Georgiana Serban | Sara Cakarevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-13.1 | 10.7-9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 8.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 55% | 51.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Raluca Georgiana Serban 1 – 0 Sara Cakarevic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Raluca Georgiana Serban 1–0 Sara Cakarevic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/22 ITF W60 Rome | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raluca Georgiana Serban
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Sarah Van Emst WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/10 | Jennifer Ruggeri W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-19 | L |
| 07/10 | Lara Schmidt W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Gaia Maduzzi W50 Plovdiv |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/09 | Lea Boskovic WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 08/09 | Francesca Jones WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Anastasia Zolotareva W50 Prague |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Anastasia Bertacchi WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 14/07 | Daria Kuczer W75 Olomouc |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Sara Cakarevic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Katerina Tsygourova WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 08/10 | Lisa Zaar W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/10 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Tena Lukas W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Noemi Maines W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/09 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Antonia Stoyanov W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Maria Golovina W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Brandy Walker W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Raluca Georgiana Serban vs Sara Cakarevic?
Our model gives 51% to Sara Cakarevic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.