Tennis · Challenger Catania · 12/10, 10:00
Prediction: Pedro Rodenas vs Svyatoslav Gulin
Team pages: Pedro Rodenas · Svyatoslav Gulin
Prediction summary
Winner
Pedro Rodenas
Svyatoslav Gulin
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Rodenas
7-3 (W-L)
Svyatoslav Gulin
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Rodenas 1521 · Svyatoslav Gulin 1561
| Pedro Rodenas | Svyatoslav Gulin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Svyatoslav Gulin (rating 1521 vs 1561).
- Note: Pedro Rodenas makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Pedro Rodenas | Svyatoslav Gulin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-11.4 | 11.6-9.4 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 38.7% | 36.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Rodenas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Sebastiano Cocola Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/10 | Sebastiano Cocola Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/10 | Olle Wallin Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Nicolas Ifi M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 29/09 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Ioannis Xilas M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/09 | Michiel de Krom M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/09 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Alejandro Garcia M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Nikola Djukic Valera M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Svyatoslav Gulin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Tilen Kovac Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/09 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Ryo Tabata Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Andrej Martin Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/09 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 31/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 26/08 | Martin Krumich Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Henri Haupt Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Rodenas vs Svyatoslav Gulin?
Our model gives 57% to Svyatoslav Gulin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.