Tennis · Challenger Catania · 12/10, 11:30
Prediction: Pavel Lagutin vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Team pages: Pavel Lagutin · Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavel Lagutin
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Pavel Lagutin
7-3 (W-L)
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavel Lagutin 1549 · Oleksandr Ovcharenko 1544
| Pavel Lagutin | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Pavel Lagutin | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-8.9 | 12.4-10.6 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 1 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 73% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 40.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavel Lagutin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/09 | Maximilian Marterer Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Matthieu Roehrich Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/09 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 08/09 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/10 | Christian Langmo Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 04/10 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/09 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/08 | Franco Ribero Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Henry Bernet M25 Lausanne |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavel Lagutin vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko?
Our model gives 58% to Pavel Lagutin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.