Tennis · Challenger Catania · 12/10, 10:00

Prediction: Jakub Vrba vs Daniel Siniakov

Team pages: Jakub Vrba · Daniel Siniakov

Prediction summary
Winner
42% 58%
Jakub Vrba Daniel Siniakov
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jakub Vrba 3-7 (W-L)
LWWLLLLLWL
Daniel Siniakov 7-3 (W-L)
LWWLWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jakub Vrba 1518 · Daniel Siniakov 1512
Jakub VrbaDaniel Siniakov
Our model51%49%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Jakub Vrba makes many double faults (4.9/match).
  • Note: Daniel Siniakov makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Jakub VrbaDaniel Siniakov
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 50% (2) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.21.4-1.1
Games (G-P)11.7-11.912.9-11.9
Aces5.42.4
Double faults4.94
1st serve %71.1%66.9%
Break %54.4%59.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jakub Vrba

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/10 Dragos Nicolae Madaras
Challenger Catania · Clay
2-1 16-9 W
29/09 Dragos Nicolae Cazacu
M15 Fayetteville
1-2 12-18 L
21/09 Spencer Johnson
Challenger San Diego · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
30/08 Bryce Nakashima
M15 Champaign
0-2 8-13 L
29/08 Oliver Okonkwo
M15 Champaign
2-1 16-14 W
28/08 Ofek Shimanov
M15 Champaign
2-1 13-14 W
27/08 Ryan Colby
M15 Champaign
2-1 18-17 W
26/08 Alexander Frusina
M15 Champaign
2-0 12-7 W
25/08 Nicholas Mekhael
M15 Champaign
2-0 12-3 W
27/07 Pablo Martinez Gomez
Challenger Liberec · Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Daniel Siniakov

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/10 Paolo Gabriele Marino
Challenger Catania · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
05/10 Yanaki Milev
Challenger Palermo · Clay
1-2 14-17 L
04/10 Daniele Rapagnetta
Challenger Palermo · Clay
2-1 14-13 W
16/09 Vaclav Schneider
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
15/09 Lukas Velik
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
14/09 Thiago Pernas
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
1-2 11-15 L
08/09 Vitaliy Sachko
Challenger Tulln · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
07/09 Oleg Prihodko
Challenger Tulln · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
06/09 Niels Visker
Challenger Tulln · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
01/09 Georgii Kravchenko
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 18-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jakub Vrba vs Daniel Siniakov?

Our model gives 58% to Daniel Siniakov, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.