Tennis · Challenger Catania · 12/10, 10:00
Prediction: Jakub Vrba vs Daniel Siniakov
Team pages: Jakub Vrba · Daniel Siniakov
Prediction summary
Winner
Jakub Vrba
Daniel Siniakov
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jakub Vrba
3-7 (W-L)
Daniel Siniakov
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jakub Vrba 1518 · Daniel Siniakov 1512
| Jakub Vrba | Daniel Siniakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jakub Vrba makes many double faults (4.9/match).
- Note: Daniel Siniakov makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Jakub Vrba | Daniel Siniakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11.9 | 12.9-11.9 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 54.4% | 59.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jakub Vrba
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Dragos Nicolae Madaras Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu M15 Fayetteville |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 21/09 | Spencer Johnson Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Bryce Nakashima M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/08 | Oliver Okonkwo M15 Champaign |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 28/08 | Ofek Shimanov M15 Champaign |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 27/08 | Ryan Colby M15 Champaign |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 26/08 | Alexander Frusina M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Nicholas Mekhael M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/07 | Pablo Martinez Gomez Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Daniel Siniakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Paolo Gabriele Marino Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/10 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 16/09 | Vaclav Schneider UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/09 | Lukas Velik UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Thiago Pernas UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Niels Visker Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jakub Vrba vs Daniel Siniakov?
Our model gives 58% to Daniel Siniakov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

