Tennis · WTA Lisbon · 13/10, 12:00
Prediction: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones
Team pages: Martina Colmegna · Francesca Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Martina Colmegna
Francesca Jones
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Martina Colmegna
6-4 (W-L)
Francesca Jones
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Martina Colmegna
0–1
Francesca Jones
(1 last)
- 08 Sept0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martina Colmegna 1516 · Francesca Jones 1543
| Martina Colmegna | Francesca Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Martina Colmegna 0–1 Francesca Jones (1).
- Note: Francesca Jones makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Martina Colmegna | Francesca Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.5 | 12.1-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 1 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.7% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Martina Colmegna 0 – 1 Francesca Jones (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Martina Colmegna 0–1 Francesca Jones
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/20 ITF W25 Tarvisio | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martina Colmegna
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Alena Kovackova W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Mia Horvit W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Federica Bilardo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Mia Ristic WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/09 | Gabriella Price WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W35 Trieste |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 22/07 | Nuria Brancaccio W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sofia Rocchetti W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Barbora Palicova WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Francesca Jones
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Mona Barthel WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Alja Senica WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 10/09 | Rositsa Dencheva WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Raluca Georgiana Serban WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Iva Jovic US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Magda Linette US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 28/08 | Joanna Garland US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Mona Barthel US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Nuria Brancaccio US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Alice Rame WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones?
Our model gives 72% to Francesca Jones, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.