Tennis · WTA Lisbon · 13/10, 12:00
Prediction: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Fiona Ferro
Team pages: Aurora Zantedeschi · Fiona Ferro
Prediction summary
Winner
Aurora Zantedeschi
Fiona Ferro
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Aurora Zantedeschi
5-5 (W-L)
Fiona Ferro
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aurora Zantedeschi
1–1
Fiona Ferro
(2 last)
- 03 Sept1-2 9-14L
- 14 Jul2-1 14-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aurora Zantedeschi 1504 · Fiona Ferro 1610
| Aurora Zantedeschi | Fiona Ferro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fiona Ferro (rating 1504 vs 1610).
- Fiona Ferro is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Aurora Zantedeschi | Fiona Ferro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.3 | 12.1-7.9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 56.6% |
| Break % | 41.5% | 56.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Aurora Zantedeschi 1 – 1 Fiona Ferro (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aurora Zantedeschi 1–1 Fiona Ferro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/26 W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer | 1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 14/07/26 WTA Rome | 2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aurora Zantedeschi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W35 Seville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Katerina Tsygourova W35 Seville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/10 | Ariana Geerlings W35 Seville |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 06/10 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W35 Seville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Marta Lombardini WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/09 | Lucie Havlickova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Lina Gjorcheska WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Sofya Lansere WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Fiona Ferro W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
Fiona Ferro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Yidi Yang WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/09 | Talia Gibson WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/09 | Dalma Galfi WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 11/09 | Lucie Havlickova WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/09 | Barbora Palicova WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Mona Barthel WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Clara Burel W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 05/09 | Francesca Pace W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Diletta Cherubini W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aurora Zantedeschi vs Fiona Ferro?
Our model gives 69% to Fiona Ferro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.