Tennis · WTA Lisbon · 13/10, 12:00

Prediction: Clara Burel vs Lina Gjorcheska

Team pages: Clara Burel · Lina Gjorcheska

Prediction summary
Winner
79% 21%
Clara Burel Lina Gjorcheska
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Clara Burel 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWLWWWL
Lina Gjorcheska 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLLLWWLW
Head-to-head
Clara Burel 1–1 Lina Gjorcheska (2 last)
  • 25 Sept2-1 16-14W
  • 21 Jan1-2 11-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Clara Burel 1594 · Lina Gjorcheska 1431
Clara BurelLina Gjorcheska
Our model72%28%
Market86%14%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clara Burel (rating 1594 vs 1431).
  • Clara Burel is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Lina Gjorcheska makes many double faults (9.7/match).

Statistics

Clara BurelLina Gjorcheska
Win %80%20%
Win % · Clay 86% (7) 17% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.50.8-1.7
Games (G-P)12.6-7.69.5-12.7
Aces1.22.4
Double faults2.69.7
1st serve %59.3%64.1%
Break %65.4%35.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

H2H · Clara Burel 1 – 1 Lina Gjorcheska (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Clara Burel 1–1 Lina Gjorcheska

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DateSetsGamesRes.
25/09/21
ITF W80 Wiesbaden
2-116-14W
21/01/20
ITF W15 Stuttgart
1-211-14L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Clara Burel

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/09 Alicia Herrero Linana
WTA Valencia · Clay
2-1 16-8 W
19/09 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
WTA Valencia · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
18/09 Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales
WTA Valencia · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
15/09 Aran Teixido Garcia
WTA Valencia · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
11/09 Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales
WTA Montreux · Clay
1-2 10-13 L
09/09 Tessa Johanna Brockmann
WTA Montreux · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
08/09 Katerina Tsygourova
WTA Montreux · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
06/09 Fiona Ferro
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
1-2 14-15 L
05/09 Federica Urgesi
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
2-0 13-10 W
04/09 Emma Lene
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
2-0 12-3 W

Lina Gjorcheska

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/09 Ksenia Zaytseva
WTA Ankara · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
14/09 Miriam Bulgaru
WTA Ljubljana · Clay
1-2 12-13 L
09/09 Aurora Zantedeschi
WTA Antalya · Clay
1-2 10-16 L
07/09 Mia Ristic
WTA Antalya · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
24/08 Mai Hontama
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
12/08 Varvara Panshina
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
06/08 Alena Kovackova
W75 Leipzig
0-2 2-8 L
04/08 Anastasiia Firman
W75 Leipzig
2-1 16-14 W
20/07 Erika Andreeva
WTA Palermo · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
13/07 Deborah Chiesa
WTA Rome · Clay
1-2 13-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Clara Burel vs Lina Gjorcheska?

Our model gives 79% to Clara Burel, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.