Tennis · WTA Lisbon · 13/10, 12:00
Prediction: Barbora Palicova vs Jazmin Ortenzi
Team pages: Barbora Palicova · Jazmin Ortenzi
Prediction summary
Winner
Barbora Palicova
Jazmin Ortenzi
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Barbora Palicova
4-6 (W-L)
Jazmin Ortenzi
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Barbora Palicova
1–0
Jazmin Ortenzi
(1 last)
- 24 Jun2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barbora Palicova 1530 · Jazmin Ortenzi 1488
| Barbora Palicova | Jazmin Ortenzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barbora Palicova (rating 1530 vs 1488).
- Barbora Palicova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Barbora Palicova 1–0 Jazmin Ortenzi (1).
Statistics
| Barbora Palicova | Jazmin Ortenzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.6 | 9.3-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 55.3% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 51.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Barbora Palicova 1 – 0 Jazmin Ortenzi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barbora Palicova 1–0 Jazmin Ortenzi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/25 Wimbledon Women | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barbora Palicova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Tolentino · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 16/09 | Samira De Stefano WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Gina Feistel WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Fiona Ferro WTA Montreux · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Alice Tubello WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/08 | Denisa Zoldakova W75 Bytom |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 29/08 | Mina Hodzic W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Xinyu Gao W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/08 | Daria Kuczer W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Jazmin Ortenzi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W50 Burgas |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Ilinca D Amariei W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 07/10 | Laura Mair W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Paula Badosa WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Chloe Paquet WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Mary Stoiana WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Himeno Sakatsume US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Katherine Sebov Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Francesca Pace WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barbora Palicova vs Jazmin Ortenzi?
Our model gives 59% to Barbora Palicova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.