Tennis · Challenger Catania · 12/10, 10:00
Prediction: Sebastian Gima vs Pedro Vives Marcos
Team pages: Sebastian Gima · Pedro Vives Marcos
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastian Gima
Pedro Vives Marcos
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Gima
7-3 (W-L)
Pedro Vives Marcos
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sebastian Gima
0–1
Pedro Vives Marcos
(1 last)
- 10 Feb0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Gima 1584 · Pedro Vives Marcos 1542
| Sebastian Gima | Pedro Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Gima (rating 1584 vs 1542).
- Head-to-head: Sebastian Gima 0–1 Pedro Vives Marcos (1).
Statistics
| Sebastian Gima | Pedro Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.8 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-10.7 | 11.7-8.6 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Sebastian Gima 0 – 1 Pedro Vives Marcos (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sebastian Gima 0–1 Pedro Vives Marcos
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/21 M15 Antalya | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Gima
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Maximus Jones Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/10 | Iannis Miletich M15 Burgas |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Timo Rosenkranz Koenig M15 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Gabi Adrian Boitan M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/10 | Radu David Turcanu M25 Slobozia |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/10 | Jannik Opitz M25 Slobozia |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Petros Tsitsipas M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Filip Misolic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Pedro Vives Marcos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Radu David Turcanu Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 04/10 | Sebastiano Cocola Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Tim Handel M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Luka Talan Lopatic M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/09 | Tim Handel M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Imanol Lopez Morillo Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastian Gima vs Pedro Vives Marcos?
Our model gives 56% to Pedro Vives Marcos, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.