Tennis · Challenger Catania · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Michele Ribecai vs Radu Mihai Papoe
Team pages: Michele Ribecai · Radu Mihai Papoe
Prediction summary
Winner
Michele Ribecai
Radu Mihai Papoe
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Michele Ribecai
3-7 (W-L)
Radu Mihai Papoe
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michele Ribecai 1478 · Radu Mihai Papoe 1575
| Michele Ribecai | Radu Mihai Papoe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Radu Mihai Papoe (rating 1478 vs 1575).
- Radu Mihai Papoe is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Michele Ribecai | Radu Mihai Papoe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.8 | 12.2-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 58.4% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 58.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michele Ribecai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 07/10 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/10 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Mathys Domenc Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 03/09 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 28/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Johannus Monday Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Radu Mihai Papoe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Borys Zgola M25 Slobozia |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Vladislav Melnic M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M25 Slobozia |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 19/08 | Javier Barranco Cosano Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 17/08 | Matyas Cerny Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Jakub Vrtilka Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/08 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michele Ribecai vs Radu Mihai Papoe?
Our model gives 57% to Radu Mihai Papoe, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.