Tennis · Challenger Catania · 11/10, 16:30
Prediction: Kai Wehnelt vs Lorenzo Angelini
Team pages: Kai Wehnelt · Lorenzo Angelini
Prediction summary
Winner
Kai Wehnelt
Lorenzo Angelini
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Kai Wehnelt
4-6 (W-L)
Lorenzo Angelini
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kai Wehnelt 1489 · Lorenzo Angelini 1462
| Kai Wehnelt | Lorenzo Angelini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Kai Wehnelt dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 40.2% break avg.
Statistics
| Kai Wehnelt | Lorenzo Angelini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11.9 | 9.9-12.1 |
| Aces | 7.2 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 75% | 58.6% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 37.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kai Wehnelt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/09 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Marcel Zielinski Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Facundo Mena Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Nick Hardt Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/08 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Lorenzo Angelini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 28/09 | Garrett Johns Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 23/09 | Matteo Sciahbasi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Daniel Verbeek M25 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Steffan Van Weldam M25 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Stan Put M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kai Wehnelt vs Lorenzo Angelini?
Our model gives 58% to Kai Wehnelt, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.