Tennis · Challenger Catania · 11/10, 10:00
Prediction: Maximus Jones vs Sebastian Gima
Team pages: Maximus Jones · Sebastian Gima
Prediction summary
Winner
Maximus Jones
Sebastian Gima
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Maximus Jones
5-5 (W-L)
Sebastian Gima
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maximus Jones 1516 · Sebastian Gima 1594
| Maximus Jones | Sebastian Gima | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Gima (rating 1516 vs 1594).
Statistics
| Maximus Jones | Sebastian Gima | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.8-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.6 | 13.2-10 |
| Aces | 5 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 70% |
| Break % | 58.4% | 51.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maximus Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Florent Bax Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Alastair Gray Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 17/06 | Hunter Heck M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Sebastian Gima
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Iannis Miletich M15 Burgas |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Timo Rosenkranz Koenig M15 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Gabi Adrian Boitan M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/10 | Radu David Turcanu M25 Slobozia |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/10 | Jannik Opitz M25 Slobozia |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Petros Tsitsipas M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Filip Misolic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Aleksandar Tolev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maximus Jones vs Sebastian Gima?
Our model gives 63% to Sebastian Gima, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.