Tennis · Challenger Catania · 11/10, 13:00
Prediction: Pavel Lagutin vs Ignacio Parisca Romera
Team pages: Pavel Lagutin · Ignacio Parisca Romera
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavel Lagutin
Ignacio Parisca Romera
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Pavel Lagutin
7-3 (W-L)
Ignacio Parisca Romera
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pavel Lagutin
2–0
Ignacio Parisca Romera
(2 last)
- 31 Jul2-0 12-4W
- 23 Jul2-0 7-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavel Lagutin 1544 · Ignacio Parisca Romera 1483
| Pavel Lagutin | Ignacio Parisca Romera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pavel Lagutin (rating 1544 vs 1483).
- Head-to-head: Pavel Lagutin 2–0 Ignacio Parisca Romera (2).
Statistics
| Pavel Lagutin | Ignacio Parisca Romera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9.3 | 10.8-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Pavel Lagutin 2 – 0 Ignacio Parisca Romera (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pavel Lagutin 2–0 Ignacio Parisca Romera
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/26 M15 Xativa | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07/26 M25 Denia | 2-0 | 7-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavel Lagutin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/09 | Maximilian Marterer Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Matthieu Roehrich Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/09 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 08/09 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Ignacio Parisca Romera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Filippo Moroni Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 04/10 | Gabriel Ghetu Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 27/09 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/09 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Alex Marti Pujolras M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-18 | W |
| 23/09 | Cian Maguire M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Ryan Nijboer M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Alejandro Garcia M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Alexander Petrov M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavel Lagutin vs Ignacio Parisca Romera?
Our model gives 65% to Pavel Lagutin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.