Tennis · WTA Lisbon · 11/10, 13:30
Prediction: Sara Cakarevic vs Katerina Tsygourova
Team pages: Sara Cakarevic · Katerina Tsygourova
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Cakarevic
Katerina Tsygourova
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Cakarevic
7-3 (W-L)
Katerina Tsygourova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Cakarevic 1530 · Katerina Tsygourova 1530
| Sara Cakarevic | Katerina Tsygourova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sara Cakarevic | Katerina Tsygourova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-7.8 | 11.3-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 54.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Cakarevic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Lisa Zaar W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/10 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Tena Lukas W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Noemi Maines W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/09 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Antonia Stoyanov W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Maria Golovina W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Brandy Walker W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Havah Kaur Kaler W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Katerina Tsygourova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Aurora Zantedeschi W35 Seville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Gabriela Ce W35 Seville |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Amandine Hesse W35 Seville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Aneta Laboutkova WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Tayisiya Morderger WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Elena Korokozidi W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Clara Burel WTA Montreux · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Madison Sieg WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Lisa Zaar WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Cakarevic vs Katerina Tsygourova?
Our model gives 58% to Katerina Tsygourova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.