Tennis · WTA Lisbon · 11/10, 15:00

Prediction: Raluca Georgiana Serban vs Sarah Van Emst

Team pages: Raluca Georgiana Serban · Sarah Van Emst

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Raluca Georgiana Serban Sarah Van Emst
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Raluca Georgiana Serban 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLLWLWL
Sarah Van Emst 6-4 (W-L)
LWLLWLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Raluca Georgiana Serban 1437 · Sarah Van Emst 1504
Raluca Georgiana SerbanSarah Van Emst
Our model40%60%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sarah Van Emst (rating 1437 vs 1504).
  • Sarah Van Emst is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Raluca Georgiana Serban makes many double faults (8.3/match).
  • Note: Sarah Van Emst makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Raluca Georgiana SerbanSarah Van Emst
Win %20%50%
Win % · Clay 25% (4) –
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.71.1-1.2
Games (G-P)9.8-1310.1-10.9
Aces1.21
Double faults8.34.2
1st serve %60.1%58.4%
Break %56.6%58.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Raluca Georgiana Serban

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/10 Jennifer Ruggeri
W50 Heraklion · ~Hard
1-2 12-19 L
07/10 Lara Schmidt
W50 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 9-5 W
23/09 Gaia Maduzzi
W50 Plovdiv
1-2 13-16 L
14/09 Lea Boskovic
WTA Ljubljana · Clay
1-2 15-19 L
08/09 Francesca Jones
WTA Antalya · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
18/08 Anastasia Zolotareva
W50 Prague
0-2 8-13 L
21/07 Noemi Basiletti
WTA Palermo · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
18/07 Anastasia Bertacchi
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-1 17-11 W
14/07 Daria Kuczer
W75 Olomouc
0-2 6-12 L
08/07 Lea Boskovic
W75 The Hague
0-2 6-11 L

Sarah Van Emst

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/10 Alena Kovackova
W50 Burgas
1-2 14-17 L
06/10 Sapfo Sakellaridi
W50 Burgas
2-0 12-4 W
05/10 Maia Ilinca Burcescu
W50 Burgas
2-1 17-16 W
04/10 Milana Konovalova
W50 Burgas
2-0 12-2 W
21/09 Ilinca D Amariei
W50 Plovdiv
0-2 6-13 L
20/09 Petra Konjikusic
W50 Plovdiv
2-1 16-14 W
15/09 Elizara Yaneva
W50 Pazardzhik
0-2 3-12 L
02/09 Clara Burel
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
0-2 2-12 L
31/08 Salma Djoubri
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
2-0 12-7 W
02/08 Tilwith Di Girolami
W75 Koksijde
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Raluca Georgiana Serban vs Sarah Van Emst?

Our model gives 54% to Sarah Van Emst, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.