Tennis · WTA Lisbon · 11/10, 12:00
Prediction: Ana Filipa Santos vs Tena Lukas
Team pages: Ana Filipa Santos · Tena Lukas
Prediction summary
Winner
Ana Filipa Santos
Tena Lukas
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ana Filipa Santos
7-3 (W-L)
Tena Lukas
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ana Filipa Santos 1462 · Tena Lukas 1493
| Ana Filipa Santos | Tena Lukas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Tena Lukas makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Ana Filipa Santos | Tena Lukas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.5 | 8-7.9 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 56.7% | 60% |
| Break % | 53.1% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ana Filipa Santos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Milana Ivantsiv W35 Lagos |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 06/09 | Jana Otzipka W50 Evora |
0-1 | 7-9 | L |
| 30/08 | Mary Lewis W50 Leiria |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 21/07 | Camila Rodero W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Heydi Doldan W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Beatriz Nahmias Melo Rodrigues W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/07 | Gabriela Kawano Cho W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W15 Rio Claro |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Emily Zornada W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-1 | 10-9 | W |
Tena Lukas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Jessica Pieri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Alisa Oktiabreva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 24/09 | Sara Cakarevic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Verena Meliss W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-0 | W |
| 13/09 | Madison Sieg WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Nastasja Schunk WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Aya Akan WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 28/08 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Joy De Zeeuw W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu W50 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ana Filipa Santos vs Tena Lukas?
Our model gives 74% to Tena Lukas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.