Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 10/10, 11:00
Prediction: Daniel Michalski vs Ivan Ivanov
Team pages: Daniel Michalski · Ivan Ivanov
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Michalski
Ivan Ivanov
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Michalski
9-1 (W-L)
Ivan Ivanov
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Michalski 1614 · Ivan Ivanov 1543
| Daniel Michalski | Ivan Ivanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Michalski (rating 1614 vs 1543).
- Daniel Michalski is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Daniel Michalski | Ivan Ivanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 89% (9) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.2 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-6.1 | 10.8-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 62% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Michalski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Alessandro Bellifemine M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/10 | Lorenzo Bocchi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/09 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/09 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Giacomo Crisostomo M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Lorenzo Beraldo M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Michael Savano M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Ivan Ivanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Manuel Mazza M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Maximus Jones Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Ryan Peniston Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Elmer Moller Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Michalski vs Ivan Ivanov?
Our model gives 66% to Daniel Michalski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.