Tennis · WTA Samsun · 09/10, 12:00
Prediction: Simona Waltert vs Himeno Sakatsume
Team pages: Simona Waltert · Himeno Sakatsume
Prediction summary
Winner
Simona Waltert
Himeno Sakatsume
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Simona Waltert
4-6 (W-L)
Himeno Sakatsume
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Simona Waltert
0–1
Himeno Sakatsume
(1 last)
- 01 Mar0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Simona Waltert 1488 · Himeno Sakatsume 1565
| Simona Waltert | Himeno Sakatsume | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Himeno Sakatsume (rating 1488 vs 1565).
- Head-to-head: Simona Waltert 0–1 Himeno Sakatsume (1).
- Note: Simona Waltert makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Simona Waltert | Himeno Sakatsume | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.4 | 13.1-9.6 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 67% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Simona Waltert 0 – 1 Himeno Sakatsume (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Simona Waltert 0–1 Himeno Sakatsume
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 WTA Indian Wells | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Simona Waltert
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Linda Klimovicova WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Melisa Ercan WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Erika Andreeva WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Anastasia Tikhonova WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 11/09 | Dalma Galfi WTA Montreux · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Despina Papamichail WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 31/08 | Nadia Podoroska US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 24/08 | Fiona Crawley WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Himeno Sakatsume
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Viktoria Hruncakova WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Dominika Salkova WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Dayeon Back Asian Games |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Taylah Preston WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Cristina Bucsa US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 31/08 | Anhelina Kalinina US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/08 | Mia Ristic US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Tyra Caterina Grant US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 24/08 | Jazmin Ortenzi US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Simona Waltert vs Himeno Sakatsume?
Our model gives 53% to Himeno Sakatsume, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.