Tennis · WTA Samsun · 09/10, 10:00
Prediction: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Polina Iatcenko
Team pages: Lucrezia Stefanini · Polina Iatcenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucrezia Stefanini
Polina Iatcenko
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lucrezia Stefanini
5-5 (W-L)
Polina Iatcenko
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucrezia Stefanini 1571 · Polina Iatcenko 1558
| Lucrezia Stefanini | Polina Iatcenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lucrezia Stefanini | Polina Iatcenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.8 | 11.2-9.8 |
| Aces | 0 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 55.8% | 67% |
| Break % | 54.6% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucrezia Stefanini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Carole Monnet WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Adana · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Cagla Buyukakcay WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 28/09 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Jasmine Paolini US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Dayana Yastremska US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Julieta Pareja US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Madison Brengle US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Polina Iatcenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Dalma Galfi WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/10 | Suzan Lamens WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/09 | Erika Andreeva WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 25/09 | Ksenia Zaytseva WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Viktoria Hruncakova WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Aryna Sabalenka US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Renata Zarazua US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 27/08 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucrezia Stefanini vs Polina Iatcenko?
Our model gives 53% to Lucrezia Stefanini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.