Tennis · WTA Samsun · 09/10, 12:00
Prediction: Ayla Aksu vs Fiona Crawley
Team pages: Ayla Aksu · Fiona Crawley
Prediction summary
Winner
Ayla Aksu
Fiona Crawley
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ayla Aksu
3-7 (W-L)
Fiona Crawley
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ayla Aksu
1–1
Fiona Crawley
(2 last)
- 05 Feb1-2 15-17L
- 30 Jan2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ayla Aksu 1482 · Fiona Crawley 1564
| Ayla Aksu | Fiona Crawley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fiona Crawley (rating 1482 vs 1564).
- Fiona Crawley is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Ayla Aksu makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Fiona Crawley makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Ayla Aksu | Fiona Crawley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-12.2 | 12.7-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 56.2% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 63.2% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Ayla Aksu 1 – 1 Fiona Crawley (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ayla Aksu 1–1 Fiona Crawley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/26 W50 Porto | 1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 30/01/26 W75 Porto | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ayla Aksu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 06/10 | Emiliana Arango WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Elena Pridankina WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Han Shi WTA Ankara · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 21/09 | Yuki Naito WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Elena Malygina WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Alana Smith W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Allegra Korpanec Davies W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 22/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Fiona Crawley
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 05/10 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/09 | Elena Pridankina WTA Adana · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 28/09 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Adana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/09 | Lois Boisson WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 26/09 | Adelina Lachinova WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 22/09 | Carole Monnet WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Anna Siskova W75 Le Neubourg |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/09 | Manon Leonard W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 8-3 | W |
| 18/09 | Julia Avdeeva W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ayla Aksu vs Fiona Crawley?
Our model gives 62% to Fiona Crawley, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.