Tennis · W35 Las Vegas · 08/10, 19:00
Prediction: Kate Fakih vs Francesca Pace
Team pages: Kate Fakih · Francesca Pace
Prediction summary
Winner
Kate Fakih
Francesca Pace
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Kate Fakih
6-4 (W-L)
Francesca Pace
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kate Fakih
1–0
Francesca Pace
(1 last)
- 16 Oct2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kate Fakih 1606 · Francesca Pace 1543
| Kate Fakih | Francesca Pace | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kate Fakih (rating 1606 vs 1543).
- Head-to-head: Kate Fakih 1–0 Francesca Pace (1).
- Note: Francesca Pace makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Kate Fakih | Francesca Pace | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (6) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.7 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-9.7 | 10.4-9.7 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 58.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Kate Fakih 1 – 0 Francesca Pace (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kate Fakih 1–0 Francesca Pace
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/25 ITF W35 Bakersfield | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kate Fakih
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Allegra Korpanec Davies W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 02/10 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Victoria Bosio W100 Templeton |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 29/09 | Anita Sahdiieva W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Reina Goto W100 Templeton |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 13/09 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 12/09 | Monika Ekstrand UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Tricia Mar UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Lily Fairclough UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 08/09 | My-Anh Holmes UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Francesca Pace
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/10 | Amelie Van Impe W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Anna Rogers W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 12/09 | Ariana Geerlings W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Nahia Berecoechea W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/09 | Fiona Ferro W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Alice Tubello W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kate Fakih vs Francesca Pace?
Our model gives 50% to Kate Fakih, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.