Tennis · W35 Las Vegas · 09/10, 18:00
Prediction: Edda Mamedova vs Francesca Mattioli
Team pages: Edda Mamedova · Francesca Mattioli
Prediction summary
Winner
Edda Mamedova
Francesca Mattioli
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Edda Mamedova
6-4 (W-L)
Francesca Mattioli
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Edda Mamedova 1574 · Francesca Mattioli 1554
| Edda Mamedova | Francesca Mattioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Francesca Mattioli makes many double faults (8.1/match).
Statistics
| Edda Mamedova | Francesca Mattioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-7.2 | 13-11.6 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 8.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Edda Mamedova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Lexington Reed W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Yara Bartashevich W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 21/09 | Anna Pushkareva W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 1-8 | L |
| 08/08 | Irem Kurt W15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/08 | Anna Bazderova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Akanksha Dileep Nitture W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/08 | Victoria Milovanova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Eva Korysheva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 31/07 | Maria Sholokhova W15 Astana |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
Francesca Mattioli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Victoria Bosio W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 07/10 | Duru Soke W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 06/10 | Anita Sahdiieva W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Rose Marie Nijkamp W15 Nashville |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Eva Maria Ionescu W15 Nashville |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/09 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Joanna Kennedy UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Emmie Moore UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/09 | Saray Yli-Piipari UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 31/07 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Pergamino |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Edda Mamedova vs Francesca Mattioli?
Our model gives 63% to Edda Mamedova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.