Tennis · W35 Las Vegas · 09/10, 18:00
Prediction: Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez vs Francesca Pace
Team pages: Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez · Francesca Pace
Prediction summary
Winner
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Francesca Pace
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
4-6 (W-L)
Francesca Pace
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 1481 · Francesca Pace 1558
| Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | Francesca Pace | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesca Pace (rating 1481 vs 1558).
- Francesca Pace is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Francesca Pace makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | Francesca Pace | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.7 | 10.3-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 54.9% | 58.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Kristina Penickova W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Maria Sholokhova W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Katie Swan W50 Evora |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Adithya Karunaratne W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Mia Pohankova WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Fernanda Labrana W75 Vacaria |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 19/07 | Oceane Babel W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Francesca Pace
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Kate Fakih W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/10 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/10 | Amelie Van Impe W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Anna Rogers W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 12/09 | Ariana Geerlings W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Nahia Berecoechea W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/09 | Fiona Ferro W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Alice Tubello W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez vs Francesca Pace?
Our model gives 63% to Francesca Pace, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.