Tennis · W35 Las Vegas · 08/10, 19:00
Prediction: Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez vs Kristina Penickova
Team pages: Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez · Kristina Penickova
Prediction summary
Winner
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Kristina Penickova
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
4-6 (W-L)
Kristina Penickova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 1491 · Kristina Penickova 1539
| Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | Kristina Penickova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristina Penickova (rating 1491 vs 1539).
- Note: Kristina Penickova makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | Kristina Penickova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-11 | 11-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 6.5 |
| 1st serve % | 59.3% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 57.7% | 52.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Maria Sholokhova W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Katie Swan W50 Evora |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Adithya Karunaratne W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Mia Pohankova WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Fernanda Labrana W75 Vacaria |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 19/07 | Oceane Babel W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Kristina Penickova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Alina Shcherbinina W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Ella Mcdonald W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Carolina Kuhl W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Iryna Shymanovich W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Harriet Dart US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Elizabeth Mandlik US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Antonia Rivera W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Florence |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Liv Hovde W35 Florence |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez vs Kristina Penickova?
Our model gives 67% to Kristina Penickova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.