Tennis · W35 Las Vegas · 08/10, 19:00
Prediction: Victoria Rodriguez vs Annika Penickova
Team pages: Victoria Rodriguez · Annika Penickova
Prediction summary
Winner
Victoria Rodriguez
Annika Penickova
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Victoria Rodriguez
4-6 (W-L)
Annika Penickova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Victoria Rodriguez 1433 · Annika Penickova 1544
| Victoria Rodriguez | Annika Penickova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Annika Penickova (rating 1433 vs 1544).
- Annika Penickova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Victoria Rodriguez | Annika Penickova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 17% (6) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.7 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-12.5 | 11.4-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 60.5% |
| Break % | 52.5% | 43.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Victoria Rodriguez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Ekaterina Maklakova W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Evialina Laskevich W50 Berkeley |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Hayu Kinoshita WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Raphaelle Lacasse W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/05 | Luisina Giovannini W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 06/05 | Sofi Plamenova Fitcheva W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/04 | Gabriela Ce Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/04 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Annika Penickova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Jordyn Hazelitt W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/09 | Akasha Urhobo W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Martyna Kubka US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 09/08 | Dana Guzman W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Jia-Jing Lu W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Mayu Crossley W35 Southaven |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Carlota Moreno W35 Southaven |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Piper Charney W35 Florence |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Angelina Voloshchuk W35 Florence |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Victoria Rodriguez vs Annika Penickova?
Our model gives 62% to Annika Penickova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.