Tennis · WTA Samsun · 09/10, 09:00
Prediction: Mariam Bolkvadze vs Bianca Andreescu
Team pages: Mariam Bolkvadze · Bianca Andreescu
Prediction summary
Winner
Mariam Bolkvadze
Bianca Andreescu
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mariam Bolkvadze
5-5 (W-L)
Bianca Andreescu
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mariam Bolkvadze 1542 · Bianca Andreescu 1496
| Mariam Bolkvadze | Bianca Andreescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mariam Bolkvadze (rating 1542 vs 1496).
- Note: Mariam Bolkvadze makes many double faults (7.4/match).
Statistics
| Mariam Bolkvadze | Bianca Andreescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.7 | 11.2-9.2 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 7.4 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 57.4% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 51.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mariam Bolkvadze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/10 | Mariia Tkacheva WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/10 | Alya Naz Altinel WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/08 | Anouk Koevermans US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Alevtina Ibragimova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Erika Andreeva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Kallista Liu W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 20/07 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Bianca Andreescu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Alana Smith WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/09 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Tamara Zidansek US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Veronika Podrez US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Eva Vedder US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Xiyu Wang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Shuai Zhang Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Jil Teichmann Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mariam Bolkvadze vs Bianca Andreescu?
Our model gives 60% to Bianca Andreescu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.