Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 08/10, 04:00
Prediction: Xiao Tang vs Jiaqi Wang
Team pages: Xiao Tang · Jiaqi Wang
Prediction summary
Winner
Xiao Tang
Jiaqi Wang
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Xiao Tang
5-5 (W-L)
Jiaqi Wang
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Xiao Tang
0–1
Jiaqi Wang
(1 last)
- 02 Jul0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xiao Tang 1512 · Jiaqi Wang 1517
| Xiao Tang | Jiaqi Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Xiao Tang 0–1 Jiaqi Wang (1).
Statistics
| Xiao Tang | Jiaqi Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-8.6 | 9.7-10 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 50.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Xiao Tang 0 – 1 Jiaqi Wang (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Xiao Tang 0–1 Jiaqi Wang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/25 W15 Maanshan | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xiao Tang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Albina Kakenova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Sydney-Nicole Clarke W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Ekaterina Kuznetsova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
| 24/09 | Yuhan Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Polina Leykina W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Ingkar Dyussebay W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Ke Ren W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
| 18/05 | Junjie Sun W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/05 | Shiyu Ye W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Yu Jin Ahn W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Jiaqi Wang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Guyu Xu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/09 | Wushuang Zheng WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Ying Zhang WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Anastasia Kulikova WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Yufei Ren W35 Shenyang |
0-1 | 0-6 | L |
| 09/09 | Yujia Huang W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Wushuang Zheng W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Xi Luo W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Patcharin Cheapchandej W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Yexin Ma W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xiao Tang vs Jiaqi Wang?
Our model gives 67% to Jiaqi Wang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.