Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 09/10, 04:00
Prediction: Daria Egorova vs Yiru Chen
Team pages: Daria Egorova · Yiru Chen
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Egorova
Yiru Chen
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Egorova
7-3 (W-L)
Yiru Chen
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Egorova 1540 · Yiru Chen 1486
| Daria Egorova | Yiru Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daria Egorova (rating 1540 vs 1486).
- Note: Daria Egorova makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Daria Egorova | Yiru Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8 | 8.1-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 53.4% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Egorova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Meiqi Guo W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Xiaowei Li W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Guyu Xu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/09 | Kristiana Sidorova WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Elena Pridankina WTA Ankara · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 21/09 | Melisa Ercan WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W35 Chacabuco |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 07/08 | Lourdes Ayala W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/08 | Victoria Bosio W35 Pergamino |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Yiru Chen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Anna Yang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 06/10 | Meiling Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Doga Turkmen W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Riko Kikawada W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-10 | L |
| 02/09 | Emna Mathlouthi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/09 | Liana Cammilleri W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Marie Villet W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Jiayu Xu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 16/06 | Evialina Laskevich W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Hikaru Sato W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Egorova vs Yiru Chen?
Our model gives 77% to Daria Egorova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.