Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 08/10, 05:30
Prediction: Marianna Shikhanova vs Junhan Zhang
Team pages: Marianna Shikhanova · Junhan Zhang
Prediction summary
Winner
Marianna Shikhanova
Junhan Zhang
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Marianna Shikhanova
7-3 (W-L)
Junhan Zhang
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marianna Shikhanova 1557 · Junhan Zhang 1511
| Marianna Shikhanova | Junhan Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marianna Shikhanova (rating 1557 vs 1511).
Statistics
| Marianna Shikhanova | Junhan Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-8.3 | 9.1-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 56.7% |
| Break % | 62.1% | 37.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marianna Shikhanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Honori Koyama W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Jiarui Sun W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/09 | Noelani Sara Teso W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Funa Kozaki W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Eva Marie Desvignes W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Wenfei Yu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Anna Snigireva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Ke Ren W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Zijun Jiang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/05 | Laura Hietaranta W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Junhan Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Ke Ren W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Zijun Jiang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-8 | L |
| 22/09 | Xi Luo W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Meiqi Guo W35 Shenyang |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 14/09 | Ru Xi Wu W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/09 | Funa Kozaki W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Ya-Yi Yang W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marianna Shikhanova vs Junhan Zhang?
Our model gives 64% to Junhan Zhang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.