Tennis · W35 Las Vegas · 07/10, 20:30
Prediction: Francesca Mattioli vs Duru Soke
Team pages: Francesca Mattioli · Duru Soke
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Mattioli
Duru Soke
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Mattioli
6-4 (W-L)
Duru Soke
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Mattioli 1526 · Duru Soke 1584
| Francesca Mattioli | Duru Soke | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Duru Soke (rating 1526 vs 1584).
- Note: Francesca Mattioli makes many double faults (7.2/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Mattioli | Duru Soke | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.6-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.4 | 10.8-7 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 7.2 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 53.6% | 58.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Mattioli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Anita Sahdiieva W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Rose Marie Nijkamp W15 Nashville |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Eva Maria Ionescu W15 Nashville |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/09 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Joanna Kennedy UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Emmie Moore UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/09 | Saray Yli-Piipari UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 31/07 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Pergamino |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Rebeca Pereira W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Duru Soke
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Anna Pushkareva W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Connie Ma W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Madison Rose W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Melisa Ercan W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Mandegar Farzami W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Lan Mi W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Selina Atay W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Alexia Lavinia Puiac W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/06 | Alana Subasic W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Mattioli vs Duru Soke?
Our model gives 65% to Duru Soke, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.