Tennis · W35 Las Vegas · 07/10, 20:30
Prediction: Emma Ottavia Ghirardato vs Francesca Pace
Team pages: Emma Ottavia Ghirardato · Francesca Pace
Prediction summary
Winner
Emma Ottavia Ghirardato
Francesca Pace
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Emma Ottavia Ghirardato
9-1 (W-L)
Francesca Pace
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emma Ottavia Ghirardato 1612 · Francesca Pace 1571
| Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | Francesca Pace | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emma Ottavia Ghirardato (rating 1612 vs 1571).
- Note: Francesca Pace makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | Francesca Pace | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.3 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-7.1 | 10.3-9 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 60.5% |
| Break % | 56.5% | 55.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emma Ottavia Ghirardato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Ciara Harding W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Sophia Cisse-Ignatiev UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/08 | Sara Suchankova UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Alessia Cau UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Amy Gray UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Addy Rogin UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Sophie Clayton UTR Pro Clemson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/08 | Elza Tomase W15 Savitaipale |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/08 | Dune Vaissaud W15 Savitaipale |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Franziska Sziedat W15 Savitaipale |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Francesca Pace
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Amelie Van Impe W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Anna Rogers W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 12/09 | Ariana Geerlings W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Nahia Berecoechea W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/09 | Fiona Ferro W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Alice Tubello W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Sada Nahimana W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emma Ottavia Ghirardato vs Francesca Pace?
Our model gives 59% to Francesca Pace, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.