Tennis · W35 Las Vegas · 07/10, 20:30
Prediction: Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez vs Maria Sholokhova
Team pages: Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez · Maria Sholokhova
Prediction summary
Winner
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Maria Sholokhova
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
3-7 (W-L)
Maria Sholokhova
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
0–1
Maria Sholokhova
(1 last)
- 04 Jun0-2 2-11L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 1471 · Maria Sholokhova 1539
| Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | Maria Sholokhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Sholokhova (rating 1471 vs 1539).
- Head-to-head: Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 0–1 Maria Sholokhova (1).
- Note: Maria Sholokhova makes many double faults (10/match).
Statistics
| Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | Maria Sholokhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-12.1 | 11.1-9 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 10 |
| 1st serve % | 56.5% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 55.8% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 0 – 1 Maria Sholokhova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 0–1 Maria Sholokhova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/25 ITF W35 Santo Domingo | 0-2 | 2-11 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Katie Swan W50 Evora |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Adithya Karunaratne W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Mia Pohankova WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Fernanda Labrana W75 Vacaria |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 19/07 | Oceane Babel W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Francesca Mattioli W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Maria Sholokhova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Krisha Mahendran W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 30/09 | Carlota Moreno W15 Nashville |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 23/09 | Anna Rogers W50 Berkeley |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Olivia Lincer W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/09 | Adriana Reami W50 Berkeley |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Edda Mamedova W15 Astana |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 30/07 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Sabrina Olimjanova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/07 | Ekaterina Tupitsyna W15 Astana |
0-1 | 2-6 | L |
| 17/07 | Ekaterina Maklakova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez vs Maria Sholokhova?
Our model gives 63% to Maria Sholokhova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.