Tennis · W35 Las Vegas · 07/10, 19:00

Prediction: Thea Frodin vs Yekaterina Dmitrichenko

Team pages: Thea Frodin · Yekaterina Dmitrichenko

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Thea Frodin Yekaterina Dmitrichenko
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Thea Frodin 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWWLWLW
Yekaterina Dmitrichenko 9-1 (W-L)
WWWLWWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Thea Frodin 1489 · Yekaterina Dmitrichenko 1597
Thea FrodinYekaterina Dmitrichenko
Our model35%65%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yekaterina Dmitrichenko (rating 1489 vs 1597).
  • Yekaterina Dmitrichenko is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Thea Frodin makes many double faults (7.9/match).

Statistics

Thea FrodinYekaterina Dmitrichenko
Win %40%80%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 80% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.7-0.5
Games (G-P)10.1-10.111.9-7.9
Aces5.21.5
Double faults7.92.2
1st serve %68.3%64.2%
Break %42.4%45%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Thea Frodin

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/09 Julieta Pareja
W100 Templeton
1-2 12-17 L
01/09 Elena Rybakina
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
28/07 Anastasia Kulikova
W75 Lexington
1-2 11-16 L
20/06 Lea Nilsson
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
18/06 Camilla Zanolini
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
17/06 Olga Golas
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
06/05 Eva Vedder
W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay
1-2 13-16 L
05/05 Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez
W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
04/05 Khrystyna Vozniak
W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
29/04 Akasha Urhobo
W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L

Yekaterina Dmitrichenko

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/10 Chloe Noel
W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
20/09 Matilde Mariani
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
19/09 Lavinia Luciano
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
18/09 Nanari Katsumi
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
17/09 Savannah Dada Mascoll
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 16-13 W
16/09 Andre Lukosiute
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 11-7 W
09/09 Carolyn Ansari
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
30/05 Sahaja Yamalapalli
W35 Wichita · ~Hard
1-2 15-17 L
30/05 Xin Tong Wang
W35 Wichita · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
29/05 Ana Grubor
W35 Wichita · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Thea Frodin vs Yekaterina Dmitrichenko?

Our model gives 52% to Yekaterina Dmitrichenko, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.