Tennis · Challenger Antofagasta · 08/10, 16:00
Prediction: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Lautaro Midon
Team pages: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo · Lautaro Midon
Prediction summary
Winner
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Lautaro Midon
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
9-1 (W-L)
Lautaro Midon
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
0–2
Lautaro Midon
(2 last)
- 27 Mar1-2 14-15L
- 17 Sept0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1617 · Lautaro Midon 1539
| Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | Lautaro Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo (rating 1617 vs 1539).
- Lautaro Midon dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 64.2% break avg.
- Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 0–2 Lautaro Midon (2).
Statistics
| Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | Lautaro Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 89% (9) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-8 | 11.9-11.3 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 73.4% |
| Break % | 54.8% | 64.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 0 – 2 Lautaro Midon (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 0–2 Lautaro Midon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/25 M25 Lujan | 1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 17/09/24 M15 Asuncion | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Nicolas Villalon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 04/10 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 22/09 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/09 | Mateo Del Pino Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Lautaro Midon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Jose Pereira Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Matias Soto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Kyrian Jacquet US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Dan Martin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/07 | Igor Marcondes ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Lautaro Midon?
Our model gives 57% to Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.