Tennis · Challenger Antofagasta · 09/10, 16:00
Prediction: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Team pages: Thiago Seyboth Wild · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Seyboth Wild
9-1 (W-L)
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Thiago Seyboth Wild
1–1
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
(2 last)
- 01 Oct1-2 11-17L
- 20 Oct2-1 16-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Seyboth Wild 1636 · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1518
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Seyboth Wild (rating 1636 vs 1518).
- Thiago Seyboth Wild is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (9) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-7.7 | 10.2-10.4 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 80.4% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 39.4% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Thiago Seyboth Wild 1 – 1 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thiago Seyboth Wild 1–1 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/19 Challenger Campinas | 1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 20/10/17 ITF Turkey F39 | 2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Seyboth Wild
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/10 | Matias Soto Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Matej Dodig Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 11/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Martin Krumich Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Mackenzie McDonald US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Dalibor Svrcina US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Moise Kouame Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Dali Blanch Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves?
Our model gives 70% to Thiago Seyboth Wild, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.