Tennis · Challenger Antofagasta · 09/10, 18:00
Prediction: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Lautaro Midon
Team pages: Eduardo Ribeiro · Lautaro Midon
Prediction summary
Winner
Eduardo Ribeiro
Lautaro Midon
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Eduardo Ribeiro
4-6 (W-L)
Lautaro Midon
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Eduardo Ribeiro
1–0
Lautaro Midon
(1 last)
- 11 Oct2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eduardo Ribeiro 1545 · Lautaro Midon 1529
| Eduardo Ribeiro | Lautaro Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Lautaro Midon dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 54.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Eduardo Ribeiro 1–0 Lautaro Midon (1).
Statistics
| Eduardo Ribeiro | Lautaro Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.3 | 12.1-12 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 33.4% | 54.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Eduardo Ribeiro 1 – 0 Lautaro Midon (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eduardo Ribeiro 1–0 Lautaro Midon
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/25 ITF M25 Rio de Janeiro | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eduardo Ribeiro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/10 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Federico Coria Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Jelle Sels Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 30/08 | Nicolas Barrientos Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
Lautaro Midon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 06/10 | Jose Pereira Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Matias Soto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Kyrian Jacquet US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Dan Martin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eduardo Ribeiro vs Lautaro Midon?
Our model gives 57% to Lautaro Midon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

