Tennis · Challenger Antofagasta · 07/10, 20:00
Prediction: Joao Lucas Reis da Silva vs Guido Ivan Justo
Team pages: Joao Lucas Reis da Silva · Guido Ivan Justo
Prediction summary
Winner
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Guido Ivan Justo
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
6-4 (W-L)
Guido Ivan Justo
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
0–1
Guido Ivan Justo
(1 last)
- 20 Nov1-2 14-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva 1530 · Guido Ivan Justo 1605
| Joao Lucas Reis da Silva | Guido Ivan Justo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guido Ivan Justo (rating 1530 vs 1605).
- Head-to-head: Joao Lucas Reis da Silva 0–1 Guido Ivan Justo (1).
Statistics
| Joao Lucas Reis da Silva | Guido Ivan Justo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-9 | 12.3-10.1 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 55% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva 0 – 1 Guido Ivan Justo (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva 0–1 Guido Ivan Justo
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/25 Challenger Florianopolis | 1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Alex Molcan Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Guido Ivan Justo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 04/10 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/10 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/09 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Hugo Gaston US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joao Lucas Reis da Silva vs Guido Ivan Justo?
Our model gives 57% to Guido Ivan Justo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.