Tennis · Challenger Antofagasta · 08/10, 16:00
Prediction: Miguel Tobon vs Tomas Barrios Vera
Team pages: Miguel Tobon · Tomas Barrios Vera
Prediction summary
Winner
Miguel Tobon
Tomas Barrios Vera
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Miguel Tobon
4-6 (W-L)
Tomas Barrios Vera
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miguel Tobon 1497 · Tomas Barrios Vera 1539
| Miguel Tobon | Tomas Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tomas Barrios Vera (rating 1497 vs 1539).
- Note: Miguel Tobon makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Miguel Tobon | Tomas Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11 | 12.2-9 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 4 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 29.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miguel Tobon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 10/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Koray Kirci Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Pietro Orlando Fellin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 26/07 | Bernard Tomic ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Tomas Barrios Vera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 30/09 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/08 | Alexander Blockx US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Daniel Rincon US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miguel Tobon vs Tomas Barrios Vera?
Our model gives 66% to Tomas Barrios Vera, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.